Rest of Season Projection
ColinCategoryRyan
32K →36
3.69ERA3.70
1.24WHIP1.24
3–8W ←0–0
0SV →4–8
Current Season
ColinCategoryRyan
23K ←14
2.14ERA ←6.46
0.81WHIP ←1.89
3W ←0
0SV →3
What Each Player's System Trusts
Colin Holderman
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.193 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 2.78 is 0.98 above the ERA — regression coming
Ryan Walker
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 4.21 is right around league — a usable arm the ERA is hiding
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.362 elevated and unstable — bloating the ERA
Colin Holderman: 32 K / 3.69 ERA. Ryan Walker: 36 K / 3.70 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).