Rest of Season Projection
JoséCategoryRyan
45K ←38
3.70ERA3.70
1.24WHIP1.24
1–3W ←0–0
1–3SV →4–8
Current Season
JoséCategoryRyan
26K ←14
5.59ERA ←6.46
1.81WHIP ←1.89
1W ←0
1SV →3
What Each Player's System Trusts
José Alvarado
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.44 sits 0.66 below league — a real arm the ERA is hiding
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.424 elevated and unstable — bloating the ERA
Ryan Walker
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (4.34)
José Alvarado: 45 K / 3.70 ERA. Ryan Walker: 38 K / 3.70 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).