Rest of Season Projection
AndrewCategoryColin
44K ←32
3.73ERA →3.69
1.24WHIP1.24
2–7W →3–8
0SV0
Current Season
AndrewCategoryColin
27K ←23
5.16ERA →2.14
1.41WHIP →0.81
3W3
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Andrew Nardi
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (5.08)
Colin Holderman
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.193 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 2.78 is 0.98 above the ERA — regression coming
Andrew Nardi: 44 K / 3.73 ERA. Colin Holderman: 32 K / 3.69 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).