Rest of Season Projection
ColsonCategoryElly
13HR ←12
37R →52
48RBI48
1SB →13
.192AVG →.254
Current Season
ColsonCategoryElly
15HR ←12
28R →40
36RBI →37
1SB →10
.229AVG →.280
What Each Player's System Trusts
Colson Montgomery
- xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.326)
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 31% is stable and high — caps the floor
Elly De La Cruz
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.362, +0.047 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 30% is stable and high — caps the floor
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.366 sits above league and is not yet stable — expect some of the average to regress
Colson Montgomery: 13 HR / 38 R. Elly De La Cruz: 12 HR / 53 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).