Rest of Season Projection
ColtCategoryNolan
7HR →13
38R ←28
13RBI →41
4SB ←0
.278AVG ←.204
Current Season
ColtCategoryNolan
0HR →6
21R ←17
7RBI →25
2SB ←0
.273AVG ←.207
What Each Player's System Trusts
Colt Keith
- xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.306)
Nolan Gorman
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.289 below league with no luck excuse
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 32% is stable and high — caps the floor
Colt Keith: 7 HR / 38 R. Nolan Gorman: 13 HR / 28 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).