Rest of Season Projection
CalebCategoryNolan
4HR →13
27R →28
40RBI →41
7SB ←0
.217AVG ←.204
Current Season
CalebCategoryNolan
1HR →6
15R →17
22RBI →25
4SB ←0
.183AVG →.207
What Each Player's System Trusts
Caleb Durbin
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.264 below league with no luck excuse
Nolan Gorman
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.289 below league with no luck excuse
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 32% is stable and high — caps the floor
Caleb Durbin: 4 HR / 27 R. Nolan Gorman: 13 HR / 28 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).