Rest of Season Projection
ColtCategoryRyan
7HR →11
38R ←31
13RBI →36
4SB →6
.278AVG ←.207
Current Season
ColtCategoryRyan
0HR →6
21R ←16
7RBI →19
2SB →3
.273AVG ←.207
What Each Player's System Trusts
Colt Keith
- xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.306)
Ryan McMahon
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.285 below league with no luck excuse
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 32% is stable and high — caps the floor
Colt Keith: 7 HR / 38 R. Ryan McMahon: 11 HR / 31 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).