Rest of Season Projection
ColtonCategoryOneil
11HR →19
38R →63
40RBI →61
2SB →28
.202AVG →.242
Current Season
ColtonCategoryOneil
4HR →13
17R →42
18RBI →41
1SB →19
.227AVG →.255
What Each Player's System Trusts
Colton Cowser
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.300)
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 30% is stable and high — caps the floor
Oneil Cruz
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.353, +0.038 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 35% is stable and high — caps the floor
Colton Cowser: 11 HR / 38 R. Oneil Cruz: 19 HR / 63 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).