Rest of Season Projection
ConnorCategorySpencer
10HR →13
27R →28
25RBI →35
10SB ←0
.193AVG →.204
Current Season
ConnorCategorySpencer
4HR →8
16R →18
15RBI →22
6SB ←0
.208AVG →.210
What Each Player's System Trusts
Connor Norby
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.292 below league with no luck excuse
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 28% is stable and high — caps the floor
Spencer Torkelson
- xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.323)
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 32% is stable and high — caps the floor
Connor Norby: 10 HR / 27 R. Spencer Torkelson: 13 HR / 28 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).