Rest of Season Projection
GaryCategorySpencer
10HR →14
37R ←29
37RBI ←36
0SB0
.202AVG →.204
Current Season
GaryCategorySpencer
5HR →8
15R →18
15RBI →22
0SB0
.191AVG →.210
What Each Player's System Trusts
Gary Sánchez
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.348)
Spencer Torkelson
- xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.324)
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 32% is stable and high — caps the floor
Gary Sánchez: 10 HR / 37 R. Spencer Torkelson: 14 HR / 29 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).