Rest of Season Projection
ConnorCategorySteven
31K →39
3.70ERA3.69
1.24WHIP ←1.25
1–3W ←0–0
0SV0
Current Season
ConnorCategorySteven
15K →22
3.12ERA ←3.46
1.38WHIP →0.96
1W ←0
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Connor Seabold
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.07 sits 1.03 below league — a real arm the ERA is hiding
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.333 elevated and unstable — bloating the ERA
Steven Okert
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.205 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.57 is 0.47 above the ERA — regression coming
Seabold (31 K, 3.70 ERA) trails Okert (39 K, 3.69 ERA) by 8 Ks but matches ERA. Okert's sell-high verdict against Seabold's buy-low creates the spread.