Rest of Season Projection
ConnorCategoryKyle
5HR →9
27R →28
34RBI ←28
3SB ←0
.228AVG.228
Current Season
ConnorCategoryKyle
0HR →3
8R →10
10RBI10
1SB ←0
.258AVG ←.211
What Each Player's System Trusts
Connor Wong
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.347 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaNOISEluck-free skill 0.286 is 0.038 below the surface — regression coming
Kyle Higashioka
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.295)
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 28% is stable and high — caps the floor
Connor Wong: 5 HR / 27 R. Kyle Higashioka: 9 HR / 28 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).