Rest of Season Projection
ConnorCategoryNick
5HR ←3
27R ←23
34RBI ←27
3SB ←0
.228AVG →.247
Current Season
ConnorCategoryNick
0HR →1
8R →11
10RBI →13
1SB ←0
.258AVG ←.250
What Each Player's System Trusts
Connor Wong
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.347 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaNOISEluck-free skill 0.286 is 0.038 below the surface — regression coming
Nick Fortes
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.267)
Connor Wong: 5 HR / 27 R. Nick Fortes: 3 HR / 23 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).