Rest of Season Projection
ConnorCategoryWilliam
5HR →12
27R →48
34RBI →56
3SB ←2
.228AVG →.290
Current Season
ConnorCategoryWilliam
0HR →4
8R →31
10RBI →36
1SB1
.258AVG →.294
What Each Player's System Trusts
Connor Wong
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.347 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaNOISEluck-free skill 0.286 is 0.038 below the surface — regression coming
William Contreras
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.338, +0.023 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
Connor Wong: 5 HR / 27 R. William Contreras: 12 HR / 48 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).