MLB Daily DeltaWeek 27 · September 27, 2026
Portrait of Craig Kimbrel
Craig Kimbrel
KC · P
Change to
Emilio Pagán
CIN · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 0–0, 4 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Craig Kimbrel wins 0 (none); Emilio Pagán wins 0 (none); 4 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Craig Kimbrel
93.6
Emilio Pagán
94.9
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Craig Kimbrel
11.1%
Emilio Pagán
13.5%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Craig Kimbrel
20.4%
Emilio Pagán
25.9%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Craig Kimbrel
28.7%
Emilio Pagán
30.6%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Craig Kimbrel
36.6%
Emilio Pagán
45.6%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Craig Kimbrel
5.3%
Emilio Pagán
10.5%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Craig Kimbrel
.316
Emilio Pagán
.286
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Craig Kimbrel
2.617.52
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.63
3.70
Emilio Pagán
2.617.52
lg xERA 4.10
now 6.43
3.70
WHIPlower is better
Craig Kimbrel
1.161.52
now 1.44
1.24
Emilio Pagán
1.161.52
now 1.43
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Craig Kimbrel
4023.80
now 17
0
Emilio Pagán
4023.80
now 11
0
Winshigher is better
Craig Kimbrel
.0002.80
now 0
0–0
Emilio Pagán
.0002.80
now 2
0–0

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeCraig Kimbrel — hold.conf 0.50
Hold · wait & seeEmilio Pagán — hold.conf 0.50
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