MLB Daily DeltaWeek 27 · September 27, 2026
Portrait of Craig Kimbrel
Craig Kimbrel
KC · P
Change to
Nate Lavender
NYM · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 0–0, 4 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Craig Kimbrel wins 0 (none); Nate Lavender wins 0 (none); 4 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Craig Kimbrel
93.6
Nate Lavender
92.5
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Craig Kimbrel
11.1%
Nate Lavender
13.5%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Craig Kimbrel
20.4%
Nate Lavender
34.2%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Craig Kimbrel
28.7%
Nate Lavender
29.8%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Craig Kimbrel
36.6%
Nate Lavender
32.6%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Craig Kimbrel
5.3%
Nate Lavender
8.7%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Craig Kimbrel
.316
Nate Lavender
.229
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Craig Kimbrel
27.88
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.63
3.70
Nate Lavender
27.88
lg xERA 4.10
now 0.00
3.70
WHIPlower is better
Craig Kimbrel
.9001.72
now 1.44
1.24
Nate Lavender
.9001.72
now 0.75
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Craig Kimbrel
4023.80
now 17
0
Nate Lavender
4023.80
now 1
0
Winshigher is better
Craig Kimbrel
.000.480
now 0
0–0
Nate Lavender
.000.480
now 0
0–0

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeCraig Kimbrel — hold.conf 0.50
Sell HighNate Lavender — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.73
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