Rest of Season Projection
DavidCategoryJordan
36K ←34
3.70ERA3.70
1.24WHIP1.24
2–6W2–5
0SV0
Current Season
DavidCategoryJordan
17K →18
5.28ERA ←6.27
1.89WHIP →1.23
2W2
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
David Morgan
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.48 sits 0.62 below league — a real arm the ERA is hiding
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.404 elevated and unstable — bloating the ERA
Jordan Leasure
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.196 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 7.31 is 1.04 above the ERA — regression coming
David Morgan: 36 K / 3.70 ERA. Jordan Leasure: 34 K / 3.70 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).