Rest of Season Projection
DavidCategoryRyan
36K →44
3.70ERA3.70
1.24WHIP ←1.26
2–6W ←2–4
0SV →1–3
Current Season
DavidCategoryRyan
17K →32
5.28ERA ←5.74
1.89WHIP →1.39
2W2
0SV →1
What Each Player's System Trusts
David Morgan
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.48 sits 0.62 below league — a real arm the ERA is hiding
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.404 elevated and unstable — bloating the ERA
Ryan Zeferjahn
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (3.76)
David Morgan: 36 K / 3.70 ERA. Ryan Zeferjahn: 44 K / 3.70 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).