Rest of Season Projection
DavidCategoryHuascar
36K ←33
3.70ERA →3.61
1.24WHIP ←1.25
2–6W2–6
0SV0
Current Season
DavidCategoryHuascar
17K →24
5.28ERA →1.86
1.89WHIP →0.97
2W →3
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
David Morgan
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.48 sits 0.62 below league — a real arm the ERA is hiding
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.404 elevated and unstable — bloating the ERA
Huascar Brazobán
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.193 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 2.57 is 0.49 above the ERA — regression coming
David Morgan: 36 K / 3.70 ERA. Huascar Brazobán: 33 K / 3.61 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).