Rest of Season Projection
DaylenCategoryJake
10HR ←5
54R ←38
42RBI →48
6SB →19
.251AVG →.258
Current Season
DaylenCategoryJake
7HR ←4
36R ←20
28RBI ←25
4SB →10
.252AVG →.288
What Each Player's System Trusts
Daylen Lile
- xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.323)
Jake McCarthy
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.339 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaSIGNALluck-free skill 0.323 is 0.030 below the surface — regression coming
Daylen Lile: 10 HR / 54 R. Jake McCarthy: 5 HR / 38 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).