MLB Daily DeltaWeek 18 · July 23, 2026
Portrait of Dominic Smith
Dominic Smith
ATL · DH
Change to
Portrait of TJ Rumfield
TJ Rumfield
COL · 1B
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 22, 1 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
HR
R
RBI
SB
AVG

Dominic Smith wins 2 (R, RBI); TJ Rumfield wins 2 (HR, AVG); 1 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Avg Exit Velolg 89.0 · higher = better
Dominic Smith
87.8
TJ Rumfield
83.7
Hard-Hit %lg 40.0% · higher = better
Dominic Smith
35.6%
TJ Rumfield
27.9%
Barrel %lg 8.0% · higher = better
Dominic Smith
5.9%
TJ Rumfield
5.4%
Chase %lg 28.5% · lower = better
Dominic Smith
32.3%
TJ Rumfield
31.0%
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · lower = better
Dominic Smith
9.8%
TJ Rumfield
10.3%
xwOBAlg .315 · higher = better
Dominic Smith
.313
TJ Rumfield
.325
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · batting average
AVGhigher is better
Dominic Smith
.200.360
lg AVG .295
now .325
.239
TJ Rumfield
.200.360
lg AVG .295
now .284
.252

Volume · counting stats
Home Runshigher is better
Dominic Smith
59
now 5
2
TJ Rumfield
59
now 7
3
Runshigher is better
Dominic Smith
2026.20
now 21
23
TJ Rumfield
2026.20
now 23
18
RBIhigher is better
Dominic Smith
2032.20
now 25
27
TJ Rumfield
2032.20
now 29
22
Stolen Baseshigher is better
Dominic Smith
.0001.20
now 0
0
TJ Rumfield
.0001.20
now 0
0
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · steadyDominic Smith — hold.conf 0.60
Sell HighTJ Rumfield — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.77
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