Rest of Season Projection
DrewCategoryKevin
55K ←33
3.61ERA ←3.69
1.25WHIP →1.24
2–4W →3–7
2–4SV1–6
Current Season
DrewCategoryKevin
46K ←19
4.03ERA →2.67
1.26WHIP →0.81
2W →3
2SV2
What Each Player's System Trusts
Drew Anderson
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (3.12)
Kevin Kelly
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.211 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.53 is 0.86 above the ERA — regression coming
Drew Anderson: 55 K / 3.61 ERA. Kevin Kelly: 33 K / 3.69 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).