Who's more valuable, rest of season
Victor Mesa Jr..
He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — home runs, runs, and RBI. Drew Gilbert’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.
Head-to-head
HR
▶
R
▶
RBI
▶
SB
◀
AVG
Victor Mesa Jr. wins 3 categories (HR, R, RBI); Drew Gilbert wins 1 (AVG); 1 even.
04
Under the hood
Underlying skill — each value vs league avgAvg Exit Velolg 89.0 · higher = better
Drew Gilbert
85.5
Victor Mesa Jr.
88.1
Hard-Hit %lg 40.0% · higher = better
Drew Gilbert
32.4%
Victor Mesa Jr.
38.3%
Barrel %lg 8.0% · higher = better
Drew Gilbert
2.1%
Victor Mesa Jr.
8.3%
Chase %lg 28.5% · lower = better
Drew Gilbert
24.6%
Victor Mesa Jr.
30.5%
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · lower = better
Drew Gilbert
9.0%
Victor Mesa Jr.
12.8%
xwOBAlg .315 · higher = better
Drew Gilbert
.296
Victor Mesa Jr.
.306
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05
The tape
Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · batting average
AVGhigher is better
Drew Gilbert
.200.250
lg AVG .295
now .231
.228
Victor Mesa Jr.
.200.250
lg AVG .295
now .211
.193
Volume · counting stats
Home Runshigher is better
Drew Gilbert
55.20
now 3
2
Victor Mesa Jr.
55.20
now 1
4
Runshigher is better
Drew Gilbert
2028.20
now 12
17
Victor Mesa Jr.
2028.20
now 3
21
RBIhigher is better
Drew Gilbert
2028.20
now 12
17
Victor Mesa Jr.
2028.20
now 3
21
Stolen Baseshigher is better
Drew Gilbert
.0001.20
now 0
0
Victor Mesa Jr.
.0001.20
now 0
0
If you already own them — trade angle
SellDrew Gilbert — sell.conf 0.59
Hold · wait & seeVictor Mesa Jr. — hold.conf 0.50