MLB Daily DeltaWeek 19 · August 1, 2026
Portrait of Dustin May
Dustin May
STL · P
Change to
Portrait of Matthew Liberatore
Matthew Liberatore
STL · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Dustin May.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — ERA and WHIP. Matthew Liberatore’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Dustin May wins 2 categories (ERA, WHIP); Matthew Liberatore wins 1 (K); 1 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Dustin May
96.9
Matthew Liberatore
94.4
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Dustin May
10.5%
Matthew Liberatore
10.9%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Dustin May
23.1%
Matthew Liberatore
21.9%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Dustin May
29.8%
Matthew Liberatore
29.2%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Dustin May
46.1%
Matthew Liberatore
42.6%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Dustin May
6.5%
Matthew Liberatore
9.0%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Dustin May
.306
Matthew Liberatore
.346
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Dustin May
3.565.13
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.57
3.91
Matthew Liberatore
3.565.13
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.35
4.78
WHIPlower is better
Dustin May
1.221.58
now 1.30
1.33
Matthew Liberatore
1.221.58
now 1.50
1.41

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Dustin May
4065
now 51
37
Matthew Liberatore
4065
now 57
39
Winshigher is better
Dustin May
.2003.80
now 3
13
Matthew Liberatore
.2003.80
now 3
13

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Buy LowDustin May — buy low. The dip is a window to acquire.conf 0.74
SellMatthew Liberatore — sell.conf 0.86
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