MLB Daily DeltaWeek 18 · July 28, 2026
Dylan Cease
TOR · P
Change to
Portrait of Paul Skenes
Paul Skenes
PIT · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 22. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Dylan Cease wins 2 (K, ERA); Paul Skenes wins 2 (WHIP, W); SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Dylan Cease
97.5
Paul Skenes
96.9
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Dylan Cease
16.4%
Paul Skenes
14.7%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Dylan Cease
36.5%
Paul Skenes
30.4%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Dylan Cease
33.5%
Paul Skenes
33.8%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Dylan Cease
32.2%
Paul Skenes
37.8%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Dylan Cease
5.0%
Paul Skenes
6.6%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Dylan Cease
.260
Paul Skenes
.262
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Dylan Cease
2.553.13
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.91
2.77
Paul Skenes
2.553.13
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.89
2.82
WHIPlower is better
Dylan Cease
.9001.32
now 1.16
1.19
Paul Skenes
.9001.32
now 0.86
1.12

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Dylan Cease
40121.80
now 103
70
Paul Skenes
40121.80
now 75
56
Winshigher is better
Dylan Cease
.0008
now 3
13
Paul Skenes
.0008
now 6
36

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
BuyDylan Cease — buy.conf 0.92
BuyPaul Skenes — buy.conf 0.92
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