Rest of Season Projection
DylanCategoryZack
135K ←83
2.95ERA ←3.22
1.17WHIP →1.13
3–6W →5–11
0SV0
Current Season
DylanCategoryZack
103K ←40
2.91ERA →2.27
1.16WHIP →0.85
3W →4
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Dylan Cease
- xeraSIGNALstable xERA 2.95, 1.15 below league — production is earned
Zack Wheeler
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.209 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 3.22 is 1.00 above the ERA — regression coming
Dylan Cease: 140 K / 2.93 ERA. Zack Wheeler: 85 K / 3.21 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).