Rest of Season Projection
DylanCategoryJavier
42K ←35
3.57ERA ←3.74
1.22WHIP ←1.25
1–4W →4–10
0SV0
Current Season
DylanCategoryJavier
34K ←14
1.30ERA ←5.88
0.61WHIP ←1.27
2W →3
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Dylan Lee
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.194 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 1.80 is 0.64 above the ERA — regression coming
Javier Assad
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (4.49)
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 15% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Dylan Lee: 42 K / 3.57 ERA. Javier Assad: 35 K / 3.74 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).