Rest of Season Projection
EdgarCategoryJoey
3HR →5
22R →31
28RBI ←21
2SB ←0
.179AVG →.198
Current Season
EdgarCategoryJoey
2HR2
12R ←9
15RBI ←6
1SB ←0
.190AVG →.259
What Each Player's System Trusts
Edgar Quero
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.252)
Joey Bart
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.361 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaNOISEluck-free skill 0.256 is 0.039 below the surface — regression coming
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 34% is stable and high — caps the floor
Edgar Quero: 3 HR / 22 R. Joey Bart: 5 HR / 31 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).