Rest of Season Projection
EllyCategoryJosé
12HR ←4
52R ←33
48RBI ←25
13SB →23
.254AVG ←.234
Current Season
EllyCategoryJosé
12HR ←4
40R ←20
37RBI ←15
10SB →14
.280AVG ←.263
What Each Player's System Trusts
Elly De La Cruz
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.362, +0.047 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 30% is stable and high — caps the floor
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.366 sits above league and is not yet stable — expect some of the average to regress
José Caballero
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.285 below league with no luck excuse
Elly De La Cruz: 12 HR / 53 R. José Caballero: 4 HR / 33 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).