Rest of Season Projection
BrayanCategoryJosé
4HR →5
42R ←37
43RBI ←27
14SB →26
.252AVG ←.235
Current Season
BrayanCategoryJosé
4HR4
26R ←20
27RBI ←15
9SB →14
.293AVG ←.263
What Each Player's System Trusts
Brayan Rocchio
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.317 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaSIGNALluck-free skill 0.315 is 0.034 below the surface — regression coming
José Caballero
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.287 below league with no luck excuse
Brayan Rocchio: 4 HR / 42 R. José Caballero: 5 HR / 37 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).