Rest of Season Projection
EllyCategoryKevin
12HR ←10
52R ←49
48RBI ←27
13SB ←12
.254AVG →.285
Current Season
EllyCategoryKevin
12HR ←3
40R ←38
37RBI ←21
10SB ←9
.280AVG →.285
What Each Player's System Trusts
Elly De La Cruz
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.362, +0.047 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 30% is stable and high — caps the floor
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.366 sits above league and is not yet stable — expect some of the average to regress
Kevin McGonigle
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.369, +0.054 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.322 sits above league and is not yet stable — expect some of the average to regress
De La Cruz: 12 HR / 13 SB vs McGonigle: 11 HR / 12 SB — nearly identical in power and speed, but McGonigle's .287 AVG to .254 gives him a clear ratio edge.