Rest of Season Projection
EllyCategoryMiguel
12HR ←3
52R ←19
48RBI ←21
13SB ←0
.254AVG →.265
Current Season
EllyCategoryMiguel
12HR ←1
40R ←8
37RBI ←9
10SB ←0
.280AVG ←.261
What Each Player's System Trusts
Elly De La Cruz
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.362, +0.047 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 30% is stable and high — caps the floor
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.366 sits above league and is not yet stable — expect some of the average to regress
Miguel Rojas
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.304)
Elly De La Cruz: 12 HR / 53 R. Miguel Rojas: 3 HR / 19 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).