MLB Daily DeltaWeek 19 · July 31, 2026
Elvis Alvarado
ATH · P
Change to
Portrait of Louis Varland
Louis Varland
TOR · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Louis Varland.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, ERA, WHIP, and saves.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Louis Varland wins 4 categories (K, ERA, WHIP, SV); Elvis Alvarado wins 1 (W).

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Elvis Alvarado
98.9
Louis Varland
98.6
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Elvis Alvarado
16.3%
Louis Varland
15.6%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Elvis Alvarado
29.5%
Louis Varland
34.6%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Elvis Alvarado
31.2%
Louis Varland
36.9%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Elvis Alvarado
50.6%
Louis Varland
35.0%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Elvis Alvarado
18.2%
Louis Varland
2.4%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Elvis Alvarado
.351
Louis Varland
.223
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Elvis Alvarado
28.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 8.38
3.70
Louis Varland
28.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 0.29
2.06
WHIPlower is better
Elvis Alvarado
.9002.19
now 1.86
1.24
Louis Varland
.9002.19
now 1.03
1.09

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Elvis Alvarado
4055.20
now 9
13
Louis Varland
4055.20
now 42
22
Winshigher is better
Elvis Alvarado
.0006.60
now 2
25
Louis Varland
.0006.60
now 2
12
Saveshigher is better
Elvis Alvarado
.00011.20
now 0
0
Louis Varland
.00011.20
now 8
36
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeElvis Alvarado — hold.conf 0.50
BuyLouis Varland — buy.conf 0.92
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