Rest of Season Projection
ErickCategoryPaul
70K →126
4.42ERA →2.28
1.45WHIP →1.04
0–0W →6–14
0SV0
Current Season
ErickCategoryPaul
34K →75
5.40ERA →2.89
1.48WHIP →0.86
0W →6
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Erick Fedde
- xeraSIGNALstable xERA 4.59 +0.49 vs league with no luck excuse
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 14% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Paul Skenes
- xeraSIGNALstable xERA 2.28, 1.82 below league — production is earned
Erick Fedde: 70 K / 4.42 ERA. Paul Skenes: 126 K / 2.28 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).