Rest of Season Projection
EthanCategoryKeegan
28K →36
3.70ERA3.70
1.24WHIP1.24
0–0W0–0
0SV0
Current Season
EthanCategoryKeegan
12K12
1.69ERA ←9.88
1.00WHIP ←1.83
0W0
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Ethan Roberts
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.250 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 4.19 is 2.33 above the ERA — regression coming
Keegan Akin
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 4.05 sits 0.05 below league — a real arm the ERA is hiding
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.328 elevated and unstable — bloating the ERA
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 16% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Ethan Roberts: 29 K / 3.70 ERA. Keegan Akin: 37 K / 3.70 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).