MLB Daily DeltaWeek 12 · June 15, 2026
Engraved portrait of Ethan Roberts
Ethan Roberts
CHC·P
Sell High high·0.95
Change to
Engraved portrait of Ryan Watson
Ryan Watson
BOS·P
Hold med·0.50
Change to

Rest of Season Projection

EthanCategoryRyan
25K 38
3.70ERA 4.07
1.24WHIP 1.27
0–0W0–0
0SV0

Current Season

EthanCategoryRyan
12K 29
1.69ERA 5.35
1.00WHIP 1.46
0W0
0SV0

What Each Player's System Trusts

Ethan Roberts
  • babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.245 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
  • xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 4.15 is 2.38 above the ERA — regression coming
Ryan Watson
  • xeraNOISEskill near league average (6.70)

Ethan Roberts: 25 K / 3.70 ERA. Ryan Watson: 38 K / 4.07 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.

Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).

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