Rest of Season Projection
EthanCategoryTanner
27K →39
3.70ERA3.70
1.24WHIP1.24
0–0W0–0
0SV0
Current Season
EthanCategoryTanner
12K →25
1.69ERA ←6.75
1.00WHIP ←2.06
0W0
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Ethan Roberts
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.250 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 4.21 is 2.35 above the ERA — regression coming
Tanner Banks
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.48 sits 0.62 below league — a real arm the ERA is hiding
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.430 elevated and unstable — bloating the ERA
Ethan Roberts: 27 K / 3.70 ERA. Tanner Banks: 39 K / 3.70 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).