Rest of Season Projection
EthanCategoryZach
28K →37
3.70ERA ←4.03
1.24WHIP ←1.28
0–0W0–0
0SV →1–5
Current Season
EthanCategoryZach
12K →27
1.69ERA ←7.78
1.00WHIP ←1.57
0W0
0SV →2
What Each Player's System Trusts
Ethan Roberts
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.250 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 4.19 is 2.33 above the ERA — regression coming
Zach Agnos
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (5.84)
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 15% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Ethan Roberts: 27 K / 3.70 ERA. Zach Agnos: 38 K / 4.03 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).