MLB Daily DeltaWeek 17 · July 20, 2026
Portrait of Fernando Cruz
Fernando Cruz
NYY · P
Change to
Portrait of Pierce Johnson
Pierce Johnson
CIN · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 22, 1 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Fernando Cruz wins 2 (K, ERA); Pierce Johnson wins 2 (WHIP, SV); 1 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Fernando Cruz
93.2
Pierce Johnson
95.3
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Fernando Cruz
17.5%
Pierce Johnson
10.9%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Fernando Cruz
29.8%
Pierce Johnson
21.5%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Fernando Cruz
29.7%
Pierce Johnson
33.1%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Fernando Cruz
21.9%
Pierce Johnson
41.0%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Fernando Cruz
6.3%
Pierce Johnson
13.3%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Fernando Cruz
.267
Pierce Johnson
.376
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Fernando Cruz
24.37
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.19
3.67
Pierce Johnson
24.37
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.27
3.75
WHIPlower is better
Fernando Cruz
1.161.37
now 1.30
1.25
Pierce Johnson
1.161.37
now 1.23
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Fernando Cruz
4035.60
now 30
27
Pierce Johnson
4035.60
now 20
21
Winshigher is better
Fernando Cruz
.0005.20
now 3
14
Pierce Johnson
.0005.20
now 2
13
Saveshigher is better
Fernando Cruz
.0003.40
now 0
0
Pierce Johnson
.0003.40
now 1
02
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeFernando Cruz — hold.conf 0.50
Sell HighPierce Johnson — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.95
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