Rest of Season Projection
FernandoCategoryJames
15HR →22
32R →78
28RBI →57
21SB ←15
.295AVG ←.255
Current Season
FernandoCategoryJames
1HR →16
21R →53
18RBI →39
14SB ←10
.266AVG →.272
What Each Player's System Trusts
Fernando Tatis Jr.
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.349, +0.034 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
James Wood
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.432, +0.117 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 29% is stable and high — caps the floor
Fernando Tatis Jr.: 15 HR / 32 R. James Wood: 22 HR / 78 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).