Rest of Season Projection
FosterCategoryPaul
103K →126
4.30ERA →2.28
1.25WHIP →1.04
6–14W6–14
0SV0
Current Season
FosterCategoryPaul
65K →75
3.76ERA →2.89
1.15WHIP →0.86
6W6
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Foster Griffin
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.247 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 4.41 is 0.65 above the ERA — regression coming
Paul Skenes
- xeraSIGNALstable xERA 2.28, 1.82 below league — production is earned
Foster Griffin: 103 K / 4.30 ERA. Paul Skenes: 126 K / 2.28 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).