Rest of Season Projection
FosterCategoryZack
103K ←94
4.30ERA →3.90
1.25WHIP ←1.27
6–14W ←6–13
0SV0
Current Season
FosterCategoryZack
65K ←40
3.76ERA →2.27
1.15WHIP →0.85
6W ←4
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Foster Griffin
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.247 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 4.41 is 0.65 above the ERA — regression coming
Zack Wheeler
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.211 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.19 is 0.92 above the ERA — regression coming
Foster Griffin: 103 K / 4.30 ERA. Zack Wheeler: 94 K / 3.90 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).