Rest of Season Projection
SpencerCategoryZack
117K ←94
3.98ERA →3.90
1.31WHIP →1.27
6–12W6–13
0SV0
Current Season
SpencerCategoryZack
40K40
3.77ERA →2.27
1.26WHIP →0.85
3W →4
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Spencer Strider
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (2.91)
Zack Wheeler
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.211 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.19 is 0.92 above the ERA — regression coming
Spencer Strider: 117 K / 3.98 ERA. Zack Wheeler: 94 K / 3.90 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).