Rest of Season Projection
JoséCategorySpencer
127K ←117
4.06ERA →3.98
1.36WHIP →1.31
6–13W ←6–12
0SV0
Current Season
JoséCategorySpencer
85K ←40
2.72ERA ←3.77
1.21WHIP ←1.26
6W ←3
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
José Soriano
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.261 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 4.06 is 1.34 above the ERA — regression coming
Spencer Strider
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (2.91)
José Soriano: 127 K / 4.06 ERA. Spencer Strider: 117 K / 3.98 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).