Rest of Season Projection
SpencerCategorySpencer
98K →117
4.24ERA →3.98
1.35WHIP →1.31
10–21W ←6–12
0SV0
Current Season
SpencerCategorySpencer
43K ←40
1.34ERA ←3.77
1.13WHIP ←1.26
7W ←3
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Spencer Arrighetti
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.212 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 4.69 is 3.35 above the ERA — regression coming
Spencer Strider
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (2.91)
Spencer Arrighetti: 98 K / 4.24 ERA. Spencer Strider: 117 K / 3.98 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).