Rest of Season Projection
MaxCategorySpencer
114K ←98
3.90ERA ←4.24
1.27WHIP ←1.35
5–11W →10–21
0SV0
Current Season
MaxCategorySpencer
74K ←43
2.97ERA →1.34
1.10WHIP ←1.13
5W →7
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Max Meyer
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.256 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 3.90 is 0.93 above the ERA — regression coming
Spencer Arrighetti
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.212 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 4.69 is 3.35 above the ERA — regression coming
Max Meyer: 114 K / 3.90 ERA. Spencer Arrighetti: 98 K / 4.24 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).