Rest of Season Projection
BryceCategoryMax
92K →114
3.05ERA ←3.90
1.28WHIP →1.27
4–9W →5–11
0SV0
Current Season
BryceCategoryMax
61K →74
2.50ERA ←2.97
1.08WHIP ←1.10
4W →5
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Bryce Elder
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.255 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 3.05 is 0.42 above the ERA — regression coming
Max Meyer
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.256 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 3.90 is 0.93 above the ERA — regression coming
Bryce Elder: 92 K / 3.05 ERA. Max Meyer: 114 K / 3.90 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).