Rest of Season Projection
JustinCategoryMax
79K →114
3.84ERA ←3.90
1.28WHIP →1.27
8–17W ←5–11
0SV0
Current Season
JustinCategoryMax
40K →74
2.87ERA ←2.97
1.01WHIP ←1.10
7W ←5
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Justin Wrobleski
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.237 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 3.84 is 0.97 above the ERA — regression coming
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 16% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Max Meyer
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.256 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 3.90 is 0.93 above the ERA — regression coming
Justin Wrobleski: 79 K / 3.84 ERA. Max Meyer: 114 K / 3.90 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).