Rest of Season Projection
JustinCategoryTyler
71K →101
4.14ERA →3.82
1.28WHIP →1.27
7–15W ←4–9
0SV0
Current Season
JustinCategoryTyler
40K →49
2.87ERA →2.72
1.01WHIP →0.83
7W ←3
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Justin Wrobleski
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.243 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 4.16 is 1.22 above the ERA — regression coming
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 15% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Tyler Glasnow
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (2.52)
Justin Wrobleski: 71 K / 3.88 ERA. Tyler Glasnow: 102 K / 3.82 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).