Rest of Season Projection
GarrettCategoryJustin
106K ←71
4.18ERA →4.14
1.30WHIP →1.28
5–11W →7–15
0SV0
Current Season
GarrettCategoryJustin
37K →40
6.30ERA →2.87
1.47WHIP →1.01
3W →7
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Garrett Crochet
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (4.93)
Justin Wrobleski
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.243 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 4.16 is 1.22 above the ERA — regression coming
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 15% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Garrett Crochet: 106 K / 4.18 ERA. Justin Wrobleski: 71 K / 4.14 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).